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Fast Bayesian inference of the multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process
, D. Ghosh, R. Adhikari
Published in American Physical Society
2018
PMID: 30110802
Volume: 98
   
Issue: 1
Abstract
The multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is used in many branches of science and engineering to describe the regression of a system to its stationary mean. Here we present an O(N) Bayesian method to estimate the drift and diffusion matrices of the process from N discrete observations of a sample path. We use exact likelihoods, expressed in terms of four sufficient statistic matrices, to derive explicit maximum a posteriori parameter estimates and their standard errors. We apply the method to the Brownian harmonic oscillator, a bivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, to jointly estimate its mass, damping, and stiffness and to provide Bayesian estimates of the correlation functions and power spectral densities. We present a Bayesian model comparison procedure, embodying Ockham's razor, to guide a data-driven choice between the Kramers and Smoluchowski limits of the oscillator. These provide novel methods of analyzing the inertial motion of colloidal particles in optical traps. © 2018 American Physical Society.
About the journal
JournalPhysical Review E
PublisherAmerican Physical Society
ISSN24700045