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Precursors of the El Niño phenomenon: A climate network analysis
Sonone R.,
Published in American Physical Society
2021
PMID: 34005911
Volume: 103
   
Issue: 4
Abstract
The identification of precursors of climatic phenomena has enormous practical importance. Recent work constructs a climate network based on surface air temperature data to analyze the El Niño phenomena. We utilize microtransitions which occur before the discontinuous percolation transition in the network as well as other network quantities to identify a set of reliable precursors of El Niño episodes. These precursors identify 10 out of 13 El Niño episodes occurring in the period of 1979-2018 with an average lead time of approximately 6.4 months. We also find indicators of tipping events in the data. © 2021 American Physical Society.
About the journal
JournalData powered by TypesetPhysical Review E
PublisherData powered by TypesetAmerican Physical Society
ISSN24700045
Open AccessNo