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The geometric Brownian motion (GBM) process is frequently invoked as a model for such diverse quantities as stock prices, natural resource prices and the growth in demand for products or services. We discuss a process for checking whether a given time series follows the GBM process. Methods to remove seasonal variation from such a time series are also analyzed. Of four industries studied, the historical time series for usage of established services meet the criteria for a GBM; however, the data for growth of emergent services do not.
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Journal | Data powered by TypesetThe Engineering Economist |
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Publisher | Data powered by TypesetTaylor and Francis Online |
Open Access | No |