Header menu link for other important links
X
Evaluation and selection of hedging policies using stochastic reservoir simulation
Kasthrirengan Srinivasan, M. C. Philipose
Published in Springer Netherlands
1996
Volume: 10
   
Issue: 3
Pages: 163 - 188
Abstract
A hedging policy is characterized by three parameters, namely, starting water availability (SWA), ending water availability (EWA) and hedging factor (HF). The effects of these three parameters on the reservoir performance indicators have been evaluated and discussed for a southwest monsoon-dependent within-year reservoir system in southern India. For the performance evaluation, synthetically generated periodic inflow sequences from a periodic autoregressive model have been used. Quite a number of the 1800 hedging policies considered for the reservoir system, yield a better overall performance compared to the standard operating policy (SOP). Reliability, Resilience and vulnerability are found to increase with SWA for a specified EWA. On the other hand, all these performance indicators are found to decrease with EWA for a specified SWA. Hence, it is desirable to start the hedging at reasonably high SWA. All performance indicators remain practically constant at higher ranges of EWA for a given SWA. If hedging is started when there is enough water in storage, reliability, resilience and average deficit increase with degree of hedging, whereas vulnerability decreases significantly up to a hedging factor of 0.3. An interactive computer program has been developed for the selection of compromising hedging policies, and its usefulness has been discussed. © 1996 Kluwer Academic Publishers.
About the journal
JournalData powered by TypesetWater Resources Management
PublisherData powered by TypesetSpringer Netherlands
ISSN09204741
Open AccessNo
Concepts (24)
  •  related image
    HEDGING POLICIES
  •  related image
    Reservoirs
  •  related image
    Simulation
  •  related image
    Water supply
  •  related image
    Computer simulation
  •  related image
    Computer software
  •  related image
    INDICATORS (INSTRUMENTS)
  •  related image
    Mathematical models
  •  related image
    Performance
  •  related image
    Public policy
  •  related image
    Random processes
  •  related image
    Regression analysis
  •  related image
    Reliability
  •  related image
    ENDING WATER AVAILABILITY
  •  related image
    HEDGING FACTOR
  •  related image
    HEDGING POLICY
  •  related image
    INTERACTIVE COMPUTER PROGRAM
  •  related image
    PERFORMANCE CRITERIA
  •  related image
    PERIODIC AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL
  •  related image
    PERIODIC INFLOW SEQUENCES
  •  related image
    STARTING WATER AVAILABILITY
  •  related image
    STOCHASTIC RESERVOIR SIMULATION
  •  related image
    WITHIN YEAR RESERVOIR
  •  related image
    Reservoirs (water)